Read more Albert Sun Governor Solid Democratic Last updated April 1, 2022, 11:32 a.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all likelihood, a. United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, in 36 states and three territories. Mr. Green, who became very popular among Hawaii residents as the states Covid liaison, has emphasized Hawaiis low infection rate compared with most other states. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. Honolulu, HI 96813 Nov. 8, 2022, In Washington State, Senator Patty Murray is facing a strong Republican challenge, though she remains favored to win. While 79% of Democrats say they approve of Greens overall performance, so do 52% of Republicans and 57% of independent poll participants. Hes shown that in the past., Given the results of the poll, Milner said a gubernatorial win by Caldwell would represent the comeback story of the modern Hawaii era. Nate Cohn Josh Green Wins Big In Democratic Primary By Kevin Dayton / August 13, 2022 Green will face Republican former Lt. Gov. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Only 4% of Republican voters do not recognize his name, according to the Hawaii Poll, compared with 12% of Republicans who do not recognize Aionas name. Log in now to continue reading this story. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. In a Q. and A. with Honolulu Civil Beat, Mr. Schatz listed the rising cost of living as the most challenging issue facing Hawaii and said we need to make it more affordable for people to build a life here.. . We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. But the state also offered in-person voting, with polls closing at 7 p.m. Saturday in Hawaii (1 a.m. Eastern time on Sunday) which is also the deadline for mail ballots to be returned. Polls close at 7 p.m. local time, which is six hours ahead of Eastern time. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2020, initial results werent released for more than four hours after polls officially closed because of extremely long lines in some parts of the state. . Polls have closed in Hawaii, where statewide primary contests for the governors office, a Senate seat and a House seat were on the ballot, as well as other races. His Republican challenger, Herschel Walker, is backed by Donald Trump. Ron DeSantis, a hard-right conservative, is facing Representative Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor who switched parties. I dont know what hes talking about. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizonas secretary of state. Hawaii Lieutenant Governor Primary Election Results. The Hawaii Poll was conducted Jan. 24 to 28 by telephone by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. Ms. Tokuda defeated her top rival, Patrick Branco, a first-term state representative, and several others. In America, where most states administer elections on Tuesdays, Hawaii is an outlier but its unusual primary elections calendar is no accident. Civil Beat Politics and Opinion Editor Chad Blair said if Penn wins the nomination, his criminal record will be questioned. Hawaii Governor Midterm Election 2022: Live Results and Updates Hawaii races senate house governor November 8, 2022 Hawaii Governor Election Results 2022 d Projected winner Josh. There are also two other Democrats running to be LG Daniel. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Nov. 10, 2022, Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the states 83 counties. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. Ben Cayetanos her husband and did great stuff for the state, and I think she would be great for the state, Shinyame said. Challenging Mr. Schatz in the primary is Steve Tataii, a conflict-resolution consultant who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House in 1992, 2002 and 2008. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. One of Mr. Greens campaign ads this year highlighted the fact that Hawaiis Covid infection rates have been among the lowest in the country, though they have still been devastating, particularly in Native Hawaiian communities. David Ige, a Democrat who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. . The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. But the seat is not considered competitive in November. At the same time, the percentage of Democratic voters who do not recognize Greens name fell from 7% in January to 2% in July. Jason Kao Results Votes from: All State City Party Ethnicity Income Education Marital Status 708 total votes Last answered 4 weeks ago Total votes David Ige. Green, who is an ER doctor on Hawaii Island, got the most support from Hawaii County. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. State officials will first publish the results of all mail ballots that were received before Election Day. His approval ratings went up, in most cases, when poll participants were asked about his handling of COVID-19. Democrats currently control the governorship and full congressional. On the Republican side, 48% of Republican primary voters would pick James Duke Aiona a former deputy prosecutor, judge and two-term lieutenant governor. These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. Only one, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. Follow along here Albert Sun Cayetano communications director Lynne Waters wrote in a statement that, Much has transpired since the interviews for this poll were conducted, notably the recent series of televised debates. U.S. Senate In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary with 94 percent of the vote. , Gov. Its early days for Vicky Cayetano, but she has her work cut out for her for sure, Moore said. Maggie Astor Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. Greens support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54% of whom said they supported him. A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. , Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second time. Enjoy this free story! Nov. 8, 2022, Because of the order in which different types of ballots are counted, early returns can be misleading. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. Maggie Astor I care about people. North Carolina's 2nd District. Josh Green, Hawaiis second-in-command, wins the Democratic primary for governor. . Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. Our newest ratings and updates, Josh Green, pictured during a news conference on the states testing program for travelers, has been the face of the states COVID-19 response for nearly two years. 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial Election Poll Results Quiz Elections If the 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial election were held today, which candidate would you vote for? Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. , Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada won a second term, beating Adam Laxalt, a Trump acolyte, and dealing a blow to Republicans. Guns were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, with both Ms. Tokuda and Mr. Branco endorsing an assault weapons ban, a minimum age of 21 to buy firearms, and other steps that would go well beyond the bipartisan gun bill Congress passed in June. Duke Aiona in the November general election.. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. [6] The deadline to register to vote is 30 days before an election. Alicia Parlapiano votes. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Maggie Astor Copyright 2022 Hawaii News Now. It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green A total of 800 registered Hawaii voters were interviewed statewide by landline telephone and cell phones. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Winer has supported Hawaii candidates for years, including serving as a general consultant for Kaheles successful, first-term run for Congress in 2020, but he now supports Green as an unpaid campaign volunteer. Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. What we expect this year Mahalo for supporting Honolulu Star-Advertiser. were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Hawaii held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 8, 2022. In Ariz., Mont., Neb. Governor", "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor", "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat", "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game', "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out", "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed", "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. Heres the state of the closest races: Lazaro Gamio Today's Paper. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. , Abigail Spanberger, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Virginias Seventh Congressional District. Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. , Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, defeated Doug Mastriano, a Trump-backed election denier, in the race for Pennsylvanias governor. Jurisdiction. She is expected to win easily in November against Joe Akana, the winner of the Republican primary, for the seat being vacated by Representative Kai Kahele, a Democrat who opted to run for governor but lost. You're reading a premium story. He had previously served as chairman of the states Democratic Party and from 1996 to 2002, he represented parts of Oahu, where he grew up, as a state lawmaker. Following the frontrunners is Aloha Freedom Coalition leader Gary Cordery at 7% with Lynn Mariano and Paul Morgan both at 3%. Democratic Primary Winner Josh Green wins the Democratic. Civil Beat/HNN poll shows Green with commanding lead in Democratic race for governor. Hes still very popular.. Maggie Astor Alicia Parlapiano race changes, Ill be sure to explain why. Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell has raised $344,861 and reported $717,678 in cash on hand in the latest fundraising figures. Hawaiis comparatively low infection rate drew many wealthy remote workers from the mainland, exacerbating the states existing shortage of affordable housing a crisis that, like the pandemic, has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. David Ige. James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor", "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor", "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket", "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor", "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor", "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor", "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race", "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year", "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor", "NONPARTISAN CANDIDATES IN PARTISAN CONTESTS", "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings", "Josh Green's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Hawaii - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - City and County of Honolulu - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Kauai - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Maui - November 8, 2022", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Hawaii_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1140004094, Richard Kim, dentist, musician, and candidate for governor in 2018. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. I would definitely say Josh Green, Briscoe said. California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Green would receive 55% of Democratic Primary votes if the election were held today, according to the results of the Honolulu Star-Advertisers Hawaii Poll. These numbers are a good sign.. Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. race", "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor", "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke", "Former Lt. Gov. Lt. Gov. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination only one of whom, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Interventions to save those that the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor Iges! 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the in. Our understanding of the closest races: Lazaro Gamio today & # x27 hawaii governor race polls. 5 percent of the vote races to watch include those in the of. These mirages show that vote margins early in the November general election.. all registered Hawaii voters are a... 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